Grandblue Environment (SH:600323) CMS·2025-10-30 06:01Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.737 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.605 billion yuan, up 15.85% year-on-year [1][6] - The integration of the acquired company, Yuefeng, has exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to overall revenue and profit [6] - The company's operational business achieved a revenue of 5.122 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 22.01%, and a net profit of 1.372 billion yuan, up 46.15% year-on-year [6] Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 12.541 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 3%, followed by a recovery in 2025 with an expected growth of 23% [2][10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 1.430 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.912 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15% [7][10] - The company’s operating profit is expected to increase from 1.822 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.395 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 15% [9][10] Business Segments - The heating business has shown continuous growth, with external heating supply reaching 1.4634 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 40.40% [6] - The energy and water supply businesses have remained stable, with revenues of 2.783 billion yuan and 714 million yuan respectively, showing slight year-on-year changes [6] Cash Flow and Valuation - The company reported a free cash flow of 1.353 billion yuan for the first three quarters, significantly improved from the previous year [6] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 12.3x for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [7][10]