Giant Network(SZ:002558) Guotou Securities·2025-10-30 06:20Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company, with a 6-month target price of 44.5 yuan [4]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, achieving 1.706 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 115.63%, and a net profit of 640 million yuan, up 81.19% year-on-year [1]. - The game "Supernatural Action Group" has shown rapid user growth and revenue increase, contributing significantly to the company's performance [1][2]. - The company has a strong ability to release deferred revenue, with contract liabilities reaching 1.333 billion yuan in Q3 2025, indicating robust commercialization potential [2]. - The company maintains a focus on self-developed and high-quality games, with successful IPs like "Journey" and "Ball Battle," which form a stable performance base [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 3.368 billion yuan, a 51.84% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.416 billion yuan, up 32.31% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 90.46%, slightly up by 0.64 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The sales expense ratio increased to 36.65%, up 1.41 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting higher advertising and channel costs [1]. Future Projections - The company expects revenues of 5.14 billion yuan, 7.36 billion yuan, and 8.085 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 2.252 billion yuan, 3.367 billion yuan, and 3.691 billion yuan for the same years [3][8]. - The report anticipates that the deferred revenue will continue to be released, supporting future earnings growth [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report suggests a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 times for 2026, leading to a target price of 44.5 yuan [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.19 yuan, 1.78 yuan, and 1.95 yuan respectively [3][8].