Ultrapower(SZ:300002) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-30 06:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to gradually reach an inflection point in performance driven by a new game cycle and AI commercialization [4] - Q3 revenue and net profit margins show signs of resilience despite previous declines, indicating potential for recovery [4] - The company has adjusted its product launch strategies and is seeing improved performance in core gaming products [4] Financial Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.068 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.86%, and a net profit of 724 million yuan, down 33.77% [4] - Q3 revenue was 1.384 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 5.3%, while the net profit margin was 17.5%, down 6.5 percentage points [4] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 58.6%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Game Performance - The core games "Age of Origins" and "War and Order" have shown stable performance in the U.S. iOS market, with rankings improving over the months [5] - New SLG games "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" are nearing commercialization, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth [5] AI Product Development - The company launched the intelligent voice robot avavox, which has significantly improved communication efficiency and reduced operational costs [6] - The global expansion of avavox is anticipated to provide additional revenue streams [6] Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.154 billion yuan, 1.724 billion yuan, and 2.604 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.6, 13.8, and 9.1 [4][7] - Revenue is expected to decline in 2025 but rebound significantly in 2026 and 2027, with growth rates of 36.4% and 28.9% respectively [7]