WTECL(SH:600157) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-30 07:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for Yongtai Energy [1] Core Views - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 7.052 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.31%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.05%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 72 million yuan, down 73.78% year-on-year and 3.87% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The coal business experienced profit decline due to price impacts, with raw coal production reaching 4.4179 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.02% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.4%. The average selling price of coal was 372.13 yuan/ton, down 36.09% year-on-year but up 7.81% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The power generation volume in Q3 2025 reached a record high, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.83%, benefiting from reasonable thermal coal prices [2] - The Haizetan project is expected to start trial mining in July 2026, with production expected to reach full capacity in Q1 2027, indicating strong future growth potential [2] - The company's energy storage business has made significant technological breakthroughs, potentially reducing costs and improving thermal stability [3] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the total revenue was 17.728 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.77%, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was 198 million yuan, down 86.48% year-on-year [5] - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a net profit of 291 million yuan in 2025, 559 million yuan in 2026, and 1.134 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.01, 0.03, and 0.05 yuan per share [3][4] - The PE ratio is projected to decrease from 124 in 2025 to 32 in 2027, indicating improving valuation over time [4][8]