5i5j(SZ:000560) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-30 07:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to the parent company, with a robust improvement in GTV levels. The report indicates that the company's cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures have been effective, leading to a recovery in performance growth [3][4] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to the parent company to be 0.07 billion, 0.11 billion, 0.16 billion, 0.27 billion, and 0.32 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 0.14 yuan, with PE ratios of 42.4, 25.3, and 21.0 times [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 81.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.81%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company reached 0.42 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 398.75% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit also saw a significant rise of 173.96% [4] - The company's gross margin and net margin for the first nine months of 2025 were 9.08% and 0.64%, respectively, reflecting increases of 1.72 percentage points and 0.53 percentage points year-on-year [4][5] Business Segment Performance - The company's brokerage business and new housing business have continued to grow steadily. The brokerage business achieved a transaction volume of 54,626 units, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, while the new housing business saw a transaction volume of 8,150 units, up 0.4%. The asset management business's managed housing scale increased by 8.9% compared to the beginning of the year [5] - The total transaction value (GTV) for the company reached 196.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. The contributions from the brokerage, asset management, and new housing businesses were 156.6 billion yuan, 13.7 billion yuan, and 25.9 billion yuan, respectively [5] Financial Projections - The financial projections for the company indicate a gradual increase in operating revenue from 120.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 144.50 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.7% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to turn from a loss of 0.848 billion yuan in 2023 to a profit of 0.322 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [6][8]