亚钾国际（000893）：钾肥量利齐升助力Q3业绩延续增长，有序推进钾肥及溴素扩产

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6] Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 3.867 billion yuan, up 55.8% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.363 billion yuan, up 163% year-on-year [6][7] - The growth in performance is attributed to the simultaneous increase in both the volume and price of potash fertilizer, aligning with expectations [6][7] - The company is on track to achieve its strategic goal of becoming a "world-class potash supplier" through continuous low-cost expansion of potash production capacity and development of non-potash businesses [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 1.4986 million tons of potassium chloride, a 13.2% increase year-on-year, with sales of 1.5243 million tons, up 22.8% year-on-year [7][11] - The revenue from potassium chloride for the same period was 3.867 billion yuan, reflecting a 55.8% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 58.9%, up 9.8 percentage points year-on-year [7][11] - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters was 35.21%, an increase of 15.26 percentage points year-on-year [7][11] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.822 billion yuan, 2.408 billion yuan, and 2.926 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.97 yuan, 2.61 yuan, and 3.17 yuan [6][8] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 22.4, 16.9, and 13.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8] Production Capacity Expansion - The company is actively advancing the construction of its second and third 1 million tons/year potash fertilizer projects, with significant progress reported [7][11] - The company’s participation in the bromine expansion project is also on track to meet production conditions [7][11]