Shennong Group(SH:605296) Shanxi Securities·2025-10-30 08:36Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-B" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company continues to lead in pig farming costs within the industry, benefiting from low raw material costs and decreasing breeding costs [6][7]. - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant drop in Q3 performance [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.923 billion yuan, down 3.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 462 million yuan, down 3.89% year-on-year, with an EPS of 0.89 yuan [5]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company recorded a revenue of 1.126 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of 74 million yuan, down 79.21% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company sold 2.1096 million pigs in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, generating sales revenue of 3.48 billion yuan, up 7.54% year-on-year [6]. Cost Structure and Industry Position - As of September 2025, the company's pig farming cost was 12.5 yuan per kilogram, with a weaning cost of 269 yuan per head, indicating a competitive cost structure in the industry [6]. - The company’s weighted average ROE was 9.25%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.56 percentage points [5]. Future Earnings Estimates - The report projects the company's net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 559 million yuan, 590 million yuan, and 1.12 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.07 yuan, 1.12 yuan, and 2.13 yuan [7][10].