RSPC(SZ:002493) Xinda Securities·2025-10-30 09:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for Rongsheng Petrochemical is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The refining sector is undergoing a continuous recovery, leading to steady improvement in the company's operational performance. In the third quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 227.815 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.09%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.888 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.34% [1][2] - The average Brent crude oil price for the first three quarters of 2025 was $70 per barrel, down 15% year-on-year, with the third quarter average at $68 per barrel, up 2% quarter-on-quarter. The company's subsidiary, Zhejiang Petrochemical, achieved a net profit of 3.75 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 42% [4] - The report emphasizes the arrival of a stock competition era, highlighting the performance elasticity of advanced private refining capacities. The domestic crude oil processing capacity is controlled within 1 billion tons, and the expansion of refining capacity is nearing its limits [4] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.221 billion, 2.099 billion, and 3.264 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 68.5%, 71.9%, and 55.5% [4][5] - The diluted EPS for the same years is expected to be 0.12, 0.21, and 0.33 yuan per share, with corresponding P/E ratios of 82.79, 48.16, and 30.97 times [4][5] - The company's gross profit margin is projected to improve from 12.6% in 2025 to 14.2% in 2027, while the return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 2.7% to 6.7% over the same period [5][6]