华测导航（300627）：部分业务增速放缓，Q4有望整体改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company's profit growth rate for Q3 2025 is 20%, exceeding the previous forecast median of 17%. The slowdown in revenue growth is primarily due to the strain in the deformation monitoring business and adjustments in customer demand, while other business segments remain stable [2][11] - For Q4, it is anticipated that the impact of the monitoring business on overall growth will diminish, as the confirmation weight of the deformation monitoring business is relatively high in Q4, and the overall revenue and profit scale in Q4 is larger, thus reducing the drag from a single business segment compared to Q3 [2][11] - The company achieved operating revenue of 2.618 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.47%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 493 million yuan, up 26.41% year-on-year [5][11] Summary by Sections Business Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 785 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.19% year-on-year, and a net profit of 166 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20% [5] - The company has seen a decline in revenue growth primarily due to the deformation monitoring business, while other segments are performing well [11] Future Outlook - The company is expected to focus on emerging businesses and traditional business iterations, with a positive operating environment. Key growth areas include overseas expansion, three-dimensional intelligence, precision agriculture, and intelligent driving [11] - The company aims for a net profit target of 730 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%. Projections for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 733 million, 930 million, and 1.207 billion yuan, with growth rates of 26%, 27%, and 30% respectively [11]