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源飞宠物(001222):Q3业绩表现继续亮眼,期待自有品牌快速放量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.28 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 37.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 130 million yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year, with a basic EPS of 0.69 yuan [1]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in the proportion of pet supplies in external sales, driven by increased Christmas-related orders. The self-owned brand, Pikapoo, continued to grow rapidly, with its staple food accounting for 20% of its revenue [2]. - The gross margin improved by 2.7 percentage points year-on-year in Q3 2025, primarily due to a higher proportion of pet supplies with better margins. The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 23.0%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow turned positive, amounting to 16.55 million yuan in the first three quarters, indicating improved cash generation capabilities [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported quarterly revenues of 330 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 490 million yuan for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +36.3%, +53.1%, and +26.6% [1]. - The net profit for Q3 was 56.05 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.3% [1]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 25.4%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher sales mix of pet supplies [3]. - The operating expense ratio for the first three quarters was 9.1%, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expenses increasing due to domestic business expansion [3]. Inventory and Receivables - As of September 2025, inventory increased by 6.0% from the beginning of the year to 310 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 31.8% [4]. - Accounts receivable rose by 24.7% from the beginning of the year to 330 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [4]. Earnings Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 186 million yuan, 220 million yuan, and 260 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.97 yuan, 1.15 yuan, and 1.36 yuan [4].