STO(SZ:002468) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-30 09:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total express delivery volume of 6.52 billion pieces in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.7% and a market share of 13.2% [2][4]. - The implementation of anti-involution measures since August 2025 has led to a recovery in e-commerce express delivery prices, benefiting the company [2]. - The average price per delivery piece increased to 2.05 yuan, up 2.1% year-on-year and 4.2% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 300 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.3% [4]. - The company plans to acquire 100% of Daniao Logistics for 362 million yuan, which is expected to enhance delivery volume and revenue scale [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 13.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.6% [4]. - The non-net profit attributable to shareholders was 320 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 59.6% [4]. - The company maintained good expense control, with total expenses of 420 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company’s market share remained relatively stable, with a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [9]. - The company is enhancing service experience through digital applications and improving hub node construction [9]. - The anti-involution measures are expected to provide significant profit elasticity in Q4 2025 [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.39 billion, 1.78 billion, and 2.03 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]. - The report projects a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8, 13.1, and 11.5 for the same years [9].