JCHX(SH:603979) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-30 09:42Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 99.3 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 17.5 billion yuan, up 60.4% year-on-year [6]. - The report highlights a significant increase in the resource segment's profitability, with a gross profit of 22.3 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 156% [6]. - The company is expected to benefit from rising copper prices, leading to upward revisions in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are set at 129.57 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 30.3% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 24.84 billion yuan for 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17 [5]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 34.8% in Q1-Q3 2025 to 35.8% in 2025E [5]. Operational Highlights - The mining service segment reported a gross profit of 11.96 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 22.7% [6]. - The company anticipates a recovery in its mining service business as operations at the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine gradually resume [6]. - The report outlines ongoing expansion projects, including the Lonshi copper mine, which is expected to reach full production by Q4 2024 [6].