YYTH(SH:600096) Guohai Securities·2025-10-30 10:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][21] Core Insights - The company reported a year-on-year decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, driven by high phosphate prices and increased exports [4][5] - The company has a strong phosphate resource advantage, with significant reserves and production capacity [9][10] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 375.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.53%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 47.29 billion yuan, an increase of 6.89% [4][5] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 126.07 billion yuan, down 14.42% year-on-year but up 5.17% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 19.68 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.30% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33.69% [4][5] Product Performance Summary - Phosphate fertilizer sales reached 1.4564 million tons in Q3 2025, up 20% year-on-year and 55% quarter-on-quarter, generating revenue of 54.82 billion yuan, a 39% increase year-on-year and a 78% increase quarter-on-quarter [5][14] - The average price of phosphate rock in Q3 2025 was 1,020 yuan per ton, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.24% [5][15] Future Outlook - The company is expected to generate revenues of 503 billion yuan, 510 billion yuan, and 517 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 59.85 billion yuan, 62.51 billion yuan, and 65.11 billion yuan [10][21]