Anjoy food(SH:603345) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-10-30 10:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index in the next 6 to 12 months [2][9]. Core Insights - The company has shown a quarter-on-quarter improvement in performance, with customized products for supermarkets performing particularly well [1][4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 11.371 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 949 million yuan, a decrease of 9.35% year-on-year [5]. - The report highlights that the company is expanding its customer base and deepening cooperation with existing clients, indicating significant growth potential in the future [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecast: - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 14,045 million yuan in 2023 to 17,557 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to fluctuate, with estimates of 1,401 million yuan in 2025 and 1,706 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11% and 10% respectively [2][5]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS) is forecasted to be 5.06 yuan in 2024, decreasing to 4.20 yuan in 2025, and then recovering to 5.12 yuan by 2027 [2][5]. - The report anticipates a stable gross profit margin, with a slight increase in the third quarter of 2025 to 19.99% [5]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from various product segments for the first three quarters of 2025 includes: - Frozen prepared foods: 5.665 billion yuan (+0.72% YoY) - Prepared dishes: 3.643 billion yuan (+9.19% YoY) - Noodles and rice products: 1.725 billion yuan (-5.40% YoY) - Agricultural products and others: 291 million yuan (+8.21% YoY) [5]. - The company has also introduced a new baking product line contributing 32 million yuan to revenue, following the acquisition of a 70% stake in Jiangsu Dingwei Tai [5]. Cost and Profitability Analysis - The report indicates that the company’s gross margin has improved, with a net profit margin of 7.31% in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.35 percentage points [5]. - The report projects that as customized products gain traction, the profitability metrics are expected to improve further [5].