Huatong Meat(SZ:002840) Southwest Securities·2025-10-30 10:48Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating for the company, indicating that the stock is expected to perform within a range of -10% to 10% relative to the market index over the next six months [12][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance, but cost reduction and structural optimization are expected to drive long-term resilience [1]. - The company reported a revenue of 60.88 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.13%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.71 billion yuan, an increase of 32.93% [7]. - The company aims to reduce breeding costs to below 14 yuan per kilogram by the end of the year, with a target of 13 yuan per kilogram [7]. - The slaughtering segment is showing steady growth, contributing stable profits, with a national expansion strategy in place [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 9,092 million yuan in 2024, 8,687 million yuan in 2025 (a decrease of 4.46%), 9,543 million yuan in 2026 (an increase of 9.86%), and 12,753 million yuan in 2027 (an increase of 33.64%) [2][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 73 million yuan in 2024, 77 million yuan in 2025, 318 million yuan in 2026, and 551 million yuan in 2027, reflecting significant growth rates [2][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.12 yuan in 2024, 0.10 yuan in 2025, 0.40 yuan in 2026, and 0.68 yuan in 2027 [2][9]. Business Segments - The slaughtering and meat processing business is projected to see revenue growth of 0% in 2025, 5% in 2026, and 35% in 2027, with a price decrease of 5% in 2025 followed by a 5% increase in 2026 [8][9]. - The livestock breeding segment is expected to maintain stable development, with revenue projected to be 234.46 million yuan in 2024, increasing gradually to 271.42 million yuan by 2027 [9]. - Other business segments are also expected to show stable growth, with revenue increasing from 173.06 million yuan in 2024 to 230.34 million yuan in 2027 [9].