Baolong Automotive(SH:603197) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-10-30 10:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is expected to see steady revenue growth, with significant contributions from its intelligent suspension and sensor businesses, which are entering a performance realization phase [8] - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 83.24 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18% [8] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 4.08 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35% [8] Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is reported at 5,897 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23% [4] - The projected revenue for 2024 is 7,025 million yuan, with a growth rate of 19% [4] - The expected net profit for 2023 is 379 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 77% [4] - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted to decrease to 303 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 20% [4] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is reported at 21.65%, down 4.55 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from TMPS & accessories and tools reached 18.22 billion yuan, up 13.11% year-on-year [7] - Revenue from intelligent suspension increased significantly by 51.73% year-on-year, totaling 9.53 billion yuan [7] - Revenue from automotive metal pipe fittings was 11.21 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.35% year-on-year [7] Profitability Metrics - The company’s net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 was reported at 1.98 billion yuan, down 20.35% year-on-year [6] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 21.34%, reflecting a decrease of 3.26 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has effectively controlled its expenses, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing improvements [7]