金陵饭店（601007）：业绩承压，静待拐点

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is currently facing performance pressure but is expected to reach a turning point in the future [1] - The report highlights a decline in revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.52% in revenue and 13.04% in net profit [7] - The company’s gross margin is under pressure, with an increase in expenses impacting profitability [7] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 0.42 billion, 0.55 billion, and 0.62 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 68x, 53x, and 46x [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 432 million, a decrease of 11.52% year-on-year, and a net profit of 17 million, down 13.04% year-on-year [7] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 1.283 billion, down 8.59% year-on-year, and net profit was 40 million, down 7.88% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 24.56%, a decrease of 1.78 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company’s operating expenses have increased, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios rising compared to the previous year [7] Earnings Forecast - The projected revenue for 2025 is 1.777 billion, reflecting a decrease of 5.0% from the previous year [6] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 42 million, with a growth rate of 27.7% in 2026 and 13.7% in 2027 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.11 in 2025, increasing to 0.16 by 2027 [6] Market Performance - The company’s stock has shown a performance of -8% over the last 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index [4]