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盐津铺子(002847):魔芋景气,利润释放

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with an updated target price of 94.72 CNY, up from the previous 91.84 CNY [4][7]. Core Insights - The company has shown a continued structural prosperity in its product lines, particularly in konjac products and egg products, which have outperformed the industry average. The optimization of channel structures has led to improved cost efficiency, contributing to a significant profit increase [12]. - The company's gross margin improved by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year to 31.6% in Q3 2025, attributed to product structure optimization and stable cost conditions. The net profit margin also increased by 3.2 percentage points to 15.6% [12]. - The company is expected to benefit from structural dividends due to its strong channel and capacity adjustment capabilities, as well as its innovative mindset. The current product reserves are robust, and the company is in a phase of increasing market share in quantitative circulation and discount channels [12]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The updated earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.96 CNY, 3.50 CNY, and 4.19 CNY, respectively, reflecting adjustments based on short-term operational conditions and external environments [4][10]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 6,055 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 14.2%. The operating profit is expected to reach 910 million CNY, with a growth rate of 26.5% [10][12]. - The company’s net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 808 million CNY in 2025, representing a growth of 26.2% [10][12].