九丰能源(605090):三季度点评:阶段性扰动不改成长趋势,煤制气布局助力能源一体化升级

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiufeng Energy [1][4][6] Core Views - Jiufeng Energy's revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 15.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.24 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year [4][10] - The company plans to invest up to 3.455 billion yuan in the second phase of the Xinjiang Qinghua coal-to-gas demonstration project, which is expected to produce 4 billion cubic meters annually [4][6] - The LNG and LPG segments show resilience despite temporary disruptions affecting profits, with LNG gross margins improving and LPG sales expected to rise in Q4 [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Jiufeng Energy's Q3 2025 revenue was 5.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.4% year-on-year, while net profit was 380 million yuan, down 11.3% year-on-year [4][11] - The company forecasts net profits of 1.6 billion, 1.81 billion, and 2.09 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.2, 12.6, and 10.9 [4][6] Project Developments - The coal-to-gas project is expected to enhance the company's upstream resource layout and strengthen its integrated energy supply capabilities [4][6] - The project is backed by a mature industrial base in Xinjiang, with necessary approvals and a professional operational team in place [4][6] Market Strategy - The second phase of the coal-to-gas project will optimize the company's gas source structure and expand its market reach, particularly in the northwest and along the West-to-East Gas Transmission pipeline [4][6] - The company aims to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 15% by leveraging synergies between its various projects and expanding its clean energy service offerings [4][6]