苏轴股份(920418):剔除汇率波动影响业绩稳定,关注新建产能及军工订单释放节奏

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance remains stable after excluding the impact of exchange rate fluctuations, with a focus on new capacity and the release schedule of military orders [1] - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 538 million yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 118 million yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is expected to see a recovery in demand from the European automotive market, which may help restore profit margins [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 756 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.7% [6] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 159 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.6% [6] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 37.4% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.8% [6] Operational Insights - The company has a high capacity utilization rate and a substantial backlog of orders, with contract liabilities amounting to 1.2351 million yuan [7] - The construction of a new facility for needle bearings is ongoing, with an expected completion date in the second half of 2026, which will cater to high-end markets including military and aerospace [7] - The company is actively seeking new growth areas, particularly in robotics and other emerging sectors [7]