LIUGONG(SZ:000528) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-30 13:40Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.76 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.71%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.458 billion yuan, up 10.37% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue reached 7.579 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.52%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.47% year-on-year to 228 million yuan [2][5]. - The domestic earthmoving machinery market continues to grow, with the company expected to maintain a steady increase in market share. The international business is also performing well, with emerging markets being a major driver. The outlook for both domestic and international earthmoving machinery industries is positive, with expectations of continued rapid growth [2][12]. - The company's profitability is expected to improve due to better gross margins in domestic electric products, ongoing structural optimization, and cost control measures. The company is anticipated to return to a high growth trajectory following impairment provisions [12][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 25.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.71%, and a net profit of 1.458 billion yuan, up 10.37%. In Q3 2025, revenue was 7.579 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.52%, while net profit decreased by 32.47% to 228 million yuan [5][12]. - The company’s gross margin slightly declined in Q3 2025, primarily due to intense competition in the domestic electric product market. However, recent price increases for domestic electric products are expected to improve gross margins moving forward [12]. Market Outlook - The domestic earthmoving machinery market is on an upward cycle, with the company benefiting as a leading manufacturer. The domestic excavator and loader sales increased by 18% and 17% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a robust market environment [12]. - The international business is also showing positive trends, with a 21.2% year-on-year increase in China's engineering machinery exports in Q3 2025. Emerging markets such as Africa and Central Asia are expected to drive growth [12]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.653 billion yuan and 2.224 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15 times and 11 times [12].