SHCI(SH:601225) Xinda Securities·2025-10-30 14:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the coal production and sales have shown steady growth, with a notable cost control, indicating resilience in the main business operations [3] - The power business is operating steadily with significant growth potential in the future, supported by a substantial installed capacity of coal-fired power generation [3] - Investment income has bolstered the third-quarter performance, focusing on enhancing profitability stability through the exit from investment businesses [3] - The coal main business is operating steadily with abundant high-quality capacity reserves for future development [3] - The report predicts that the coal industry will continue to exhibit inelastic supply and elastic demand over the next 3-5 years, with domestic thermal coal prices expected to remain at a mid-to-high level [3] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1180.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company of 12.713 billion yuan, down 27.22% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.075 billion yuan, down 5.80% [2] - The company’s coal production for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 130.37 million tons, an increase of 2.03% year-on-year, while coal sales were 189.20 million tons, up 0.4% [3] - The average coal selling price was 540 yuan/ton, down 13.04% year-on-year, while the sales cost was 376 yuan/ton, down 5.44% [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 17.4 billion, 18.8 billion, and 19.3 billion yuan respectively, with EPS projected at 1.79, 1.94, and 1.99 yuan per share [3][5]