SRBC(SH:600039) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-31 02:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 60% in Q3, exceeding expectations, with a total revenue of 73.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.3 billion yuan in the same period, marking an 11.0% year-on-year increase, with Q3 showing a notable acceleration in performance due to new project commencements and improved gross margins [1][2] - The company has a robust order backlog of 291.3 billion yuan, which is 2.7 times its revenue from the previous year, ensuring sustained performance in the medium to long term [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 15.1%, with Q3 alone reaching a gross margin of 16.2%, the highest in nearly seven quarters [2] - The operating cash flow showed a significant improvement, with a net inflow of 4 billion yuan in Q3, marking the best Q3 cash flow in the company's history [2] Order and Project Outlook - The company secured new projects worth 97.2 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a 25.2% year-on-year increase, with expectations for further acceleration in project conversion [3] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from national strategic infrastructure projects, particularly in Sichuan, which is expected to receive special funding from the government [1] Dividend and Valuation - The company has planned a minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 60% for 2025-2027, with projected dividend yields of 6.1%, 6.9%, and 7.6% for the respective years [3] - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 8.0 billion, 9.0 billion, and 10.0 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.8, 8.7, and 7.9 [4]