Longi(SH:601012) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-31 03:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 50.9 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 13%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 3.4 billion yuan, which represents a reduction in losses by 48% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 18.1 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 834 million yuan, a year-on-year reduction in losses by 34% and a quarter-on-quarter reduction in losses by 26% [2]. - The "anti-involution" trend in the photovoltaic industry has led to price increases along the supply chain, contributing to a recovery in profitability. The company sold 38.15 GW of silicon wafers in the first three quarters, with Q3 sales remaining stable at 13.43 GW. The sales volume of battery modules was 63.43 GW, with Q3 sales estimated at 21-22 GW, slightly down due to high sales in Q2 [3]. - The company's HPBC 2.0 product line has seen rapid growth, with cumulative sales of 14.48 GW in the first three quarters. The production capacity for HPBC 2.0 is expected to exceed 60% by the end of 2025, which is anticipated to further improve the profitability of the battery module business [4]. - The company has improved its operating cash flow, achieving a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.3 billion yuan in Q3, marking two consecutive quarters of positive cash flow. As of the end of Q3, the company had cash reserves of 51.7 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.43%, indicating a low level of debt pressure within the industry [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - The company reported a revenue of 50.9 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, down 13% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 3.4 billion yuan, a reduction in losses by 48% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The company sold 38.15 GW of silicon wafers in the first three quarters, with Q3 sales stable at 13.43 GW. The sales volume of battery modules was 63.43 GW, with Q3 sales estimated at 21-22 GW, slightly down due to high sales in Q2. The "anti-involution" trend has led to a 50% increase in silicon wafer prices, contributing to a narrowing of losses in the silicon wafer business and a 3.3 percentage point increase in gross margin to 4.89% in Q3 [3]. Product Development - The HPBC 2.0 product line has seen rapid growth, with cumulative sales of 14.48 GW in the first three quarters. The production capacity for HPBC 2.0 is expected to exceed 60% by the end of 2025, which is anticipated to further improve the profitability of the battery module business [4]. Financial Health - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.3 billion yuan in Q3, with cash reserves of 51.7 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.43%, indicating a low level of debt pressure within the industry [4].