AVIC SAC(SH:600760) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-31 03:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.607 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 18.54%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.362 billion yuan, down 25.10% year-over-year. The performance aligns with expectations [1]. - In the third quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.978 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 62.77%, and a net profit of 225 million yuan, up 12.89% year-over-year. Profitability remained stable overall [1]. - The company successfully raised 4 billion yuan through a private placement to enhance its equipment development and improve maintenance capabilities through an investment in its subsidiary [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's gross margin decreased by 0.65 percentage points to 11.83%, while the net profit margin fell by 0.50 percentage points to 6.64%. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 10.79%, down 1.42 percentage points year-over-year, and the net profit margin was 3.96%, down 1.27 percentage points year-over-year [1]. - The company experienced a significant increase in prepaid supplier payments, which rose by 104.17% to 4.230 billion yuan compared to the beginning of the year. Accounts receivable increased by 2.73% to 20.388 billion yuan, while inventory decreased by 5.09% to 12.909 billion yuan [2]. - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 3.030 billion yuan, 3.817 billion yuan, and 4.624 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 59x, 47x, and 38x [4][5].