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山东高速(600350):济荷高速收入高增,业绩符合预期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shandong Expressway is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Shandong Expressway's performance is in line with expectations, with a significant increase in revenue from the Jihe Expressway contributing to the overall results [6] - The company reported a total revenue of 16.84 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 15.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [6] - The toll revenue showed steady growth, with a total of 7.88 billion yuan for the first three quarters, an increase of 4.08% year-on-year, driven primarily by the Jiqing Expressway [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for Shandong Expressway are as follows: 28.50 billion yuan for 2025, with a slight increase to 28.80 billion yuan in 2026 and 28.92 billion yuan in 2027 [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 3.38 billion yuan in 2025, increasing to 3.64 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.71 billion yuan in 2027 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.70 yuan for 2025, 0.75 yuan for 2026, and 0.77 yuan for 2027 [5]