Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 15.012 billion, 1.539 billion, and 1.389 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 9%, 13%, and 14%. For Q3 alone, the figures were 5.211 billion, 518 million, and 489 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 7%, 12%, and 11% [2][6]. - Both domestic and international sales saw growth in Q3, with the company’s competitive advantages strengthening, alongside favorable cash flow and high dividends, highlighting its investment value [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Growth - The company reported steady revenue growth, with Q3 domestic sales continuing the trend from H1, particularly in sofas, soft beds, and mattresses, which saw year-on-year increases of 14.7%, 10.4%, and 12.6%, respectively. The growth in sofas was driven by functional sofas, with retail sales in this category increasing by over 50% due to continuous product technology optimization [7]. International Sales and Expansion - International sales also showed growth, particularly in the sofa and mattress segments. The company is expanding its overseas production capacity in Vietnam, Mexico, and the U.S., with plans for a new base in Indonesia. The development of new business trends, such as cross-border e-commerce and the establishment of self-owned brand stores in various countries, is contributing positively to growth [7]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company’s profitability continued to improve in Q3, with gross margin, net profit margin, and net profit excluding non-recurring items increasing by 1.6, 0.5, and 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, respectively. This improvement is attributed to ongoing cost reduction efforts and operational efficiency [7]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profit attributable to the parent to reach 1.93 billion, 2.10 billion, and 2.32 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 13, 12, and 11 times. The anticipated dividend for 2024 is 1.13 billion yuan, yielding a dividend rate of approximately 4.5% [7].
顾家家居(603816):25Q3点评:收入稳健增长、利润超预期,兼具高股息与长期α