桂冠电力(600236):Q3水电发电创新高,业绩超预期增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in hydropower generation, leading to better-than-expected performance in Q3 2025, with a net profit of 1.232 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.49% [6] - The company achieved a total electricity generation of 31.848 billion kWh in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.89%, primarily driven by a 21.93% increase in hydropower generation [6] - The company is actively working with government departments to optimize the electricity fee allocation scheme, which is expected to improve overall profitability in the long term [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 9,968 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2,842 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.4% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.36 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21 [5]