Suzhou Centec (SH:688702) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-31 06:19Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4] Core Insights - The company achieved a turnaround in Q3 2025, benefiting from the ramp-up of high-end chips, with revenue of 832 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 2.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9 million yuan, up 112.30% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 324 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 17.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 33 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 271.21% year-on-year [4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the demand for high-speed interconnects driven by AI, leading to adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company expects net profits of -18 million yuan, 46 million yuan, and 119 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with revenues projected at 1.252 billion yuan, 1.886 billion yuan, and 2.390 billion yuan for the same years [4][8] - The company maintained a high level of R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 351 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.40% [6] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 44.2% in 2025, with a net margin of -1.4% [8] Market Position and Developments - The company is a leading domestic Ethernet switch chip designer and is actively participating in the OISA ecosystem to support the development of domestic ultra-node computing [5] - The company’s high-end chips, with capacities ranging from 12.8Tbps to 25.6Tbps, are entering the market promotion and application phase, indicating a strong potential for growth in domestic network product localization [6]