CNCEC(SH:601117) Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-31 07:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7][19]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 136.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.15%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.232 billion yuan, up 10.28% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 45.578 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.28% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 1.131 billion yuan, which is a 13.21% increase year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability due to effective cost control and optimization of profit structure [1]. - The company signed new contracts worth 284.561 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.17% year-on-year, with Q3 showing a decline of 2.54% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.43%, an increase of 0.35 percentage points year-on-year, indicating an improvement in profitability [2]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.41%, up 0.27 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting enhanced cost control capabilities [3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.3 billion yuan, 6.9 billion yuan, and 7.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 8.1, 7.3, and 6.8 [4]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2023 to 2027 are 179.196 billion yuan, 186.613 billion yuan, 195.626 billion yuan, 206.409 billion yuan, and 217.915 billion yuan, with growth rates of 13.10%, 4.14%, 4.83%, 5.51%, and 5.57% respectively [5][14]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.89 yuan in 2023 to 1.22 yuan in 2027 [5][14].