SDIC Power(SH:600886) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-31 07:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guotou Electric Power (600886) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 40.572 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.61%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.517 billion yuan, down 0.92% year-on-year [7] - The hydropower generation from the Yalong River decreased year-on-year, but a low base is expected to help recover Q4 performance [7] - The company's thermal power generation faced pressure, but cost improvements have enhanced profitability [7] - Financial expenses have decreased due to a reduction in interest rates, positively impacting overall performance [7] - The company has a commitment to maintain a cash dividend ratio of no less than 55% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders from 2025 to 2027 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 55.182 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 4.6% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 7.201 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase [6] - Earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 0.90 yuan, with a projected PE ratio of 16 [6][8] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in installed capacity across water, thermal, wind, and solar energy during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [7]