天合光能(688599):公司点评:Q3亏损收窄,储能放量有望带动量利齐升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Trina Solar [1][6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 50 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 20%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 4.201 billion RMB, deepening the loss compared to the previous year [3] - The company's sales gross margin in Q3 was 4.49%, remaining stable quarter-on-quarter, and the net profit loss narrowed due to reduced asset impairment and investment losses [4] - The company is experiencing pressure on component profitability, but the "anti-involution" trend in the photovoltaic industry is expected to drive recovery in profitability [4] - The energy storage business is growing rapidly, with significant contracts signed in various regions, which is expected to contribute to profit growth [4] - The company aims to enhance its overall solution capabilities and become a smart energy solution provider, expanding into diversified value-added services [5] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 18.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13%, with a net loss of 1.283 billion RMB, a 7% decrease year-on-year and a 20% decrease quarter-on-quarter [3] Operational Analysis - The component segment remains under pressure, but the industry trend of "anti-involution" is expected to improve profitability [4] - The energy storage business is rapidly expanding, with contracts totaling 2.48 GWh signed in September and over 1 GWh in October, aiming for over 8 GWh in shipments for 2025 [4] Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to -5.43 billion RMB, 1.58 billion RMB, and 3.67 billion RMB respectively, with expectations of improved profitability in the component business and continued growth in the energy storage segment [6]