Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Views of the Report - This week, the natural rubber market showed a trend of rising first and then falling under the combined influence of fundamentals and macro - sentiment. In the first half, strong raw material prices, continuous inventory reduction, and positive macro - expectations supported the rise of rubber prices; in the second half, after the macro - positive factors materialized, the market sentiment turned cautious, and rubber prices declined. In the future, heavy rainfall in major producing areas will limit rubber tapping, and raw material prices are expected to remain firm. On the demand side, tire companies still face shipment pressure, and foreign trade orders are under - performing. Some companies plan to reduce production or conduct maintenance in November, which will restrict the improvement of overall production capacity utilization. Overall, raw material prices will provide short - term support, but there is a lack of substantial positive factors on the demand side. Therefore, rubber prices are expected to fluctuate next week [3] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Price Data - As of October 30, the mainstream price of domestic full - latex in the Shanghai market was 14,800 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan/ton from last week. The US dollar price of Thai - produced 20 - standard rubber in the Qingdao Free Trade Zone was 1,870 US dollars/ton, up 10 US dollars/ton from last week [3] Main - producing Countries' Rubber Output and China's Natural Rubber Imports - No specific data analysis in the text, only historical data charts of ANRPC member countries' natural rubber output and China's natural rubber imports are presented [10][11][12] Tire Output - No specific data analysis in the text, only historical data charts of tire output are presented [13][14] Tire Enterprise Operating Rates - This week, the capacity utilization rate of semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 72.12%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.72% and a year - on - year decrease of 7.61%. The capacity utilization rate of full - steel tire sample enterprises was 65.34%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.53% and a year - on - year increase of 6.15%. Some enterprises suspended or restricted production this week, dragging down the operating rate [3] Tire Enterprise Inventories - No specific data analysis in the text, only historical data charts of the number of days of available inventory in semi - steel and full - steel tire factories in Shandong are presented [20][21][22] Natural Rubber Inventories - As of October 26, 2025, China's natural rubber social inventory was 1.0389 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11,000 tons, a decline of 1%. The total inventory of natural rubber in bonded and general trade in Qingdao was 432,200 tons, a decrease of 5,300 tons from the previous period, a decline of 1.2%. The bonded area inventory was 68,700 tons, a decline of 1.29%; the general trade inventory was 363,500 tons, a decline of 1.18% [3]
弘业期货天然橡胶周报：原料端仍存支撑-20251031