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新奥股份(600803):产业链整合红利释放长期价值
ENN-NGENN-NG(SH:600803) HTSC·2025-10-31 08:26

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 25.90 [1][7]. Core Views - The report highlights the long-term value release from the integration of the industrial chain, with a focus on optimizing the synergy between gas volume and price [2][3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in unloading volumes at the Zhoushan receiving station, enhancing its role as a strategic hub in the energy supply chain [3]. - The privatization of New World Energy is progressing efficiently, which is expected to unlock collaborative value and enhance resource integration [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of RMB 29.865 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 5.9% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 7.5%. The core net profit was RMB 1.041 billion, down 6.9% year-over-year and down 37% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 95.856 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 2.9%, and a core net profit of RMB 3.777 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 1.0% [1]. Sales Volume and Pricing - Total sales gas volume for the first three quarters was 30.20 billion cubic meters, an increase of 5.2% year-over-year. Platform trading gas volume was 3.95 billion cubic meters, down 2.8% year-over-year [2]. - Retail gas volume was 19.19 billion cubic meters, up 2.0% year-over-year, indicating stable demand in the retail segment [2]. Strategic Developments - The unloading volume at the Zhoushan station reached 1.98 million tons in the first three quarters, a year-over-year increase of 14.2%, showcasing the station's growing importance in the LNG import landscape [3]. - The privatization transaction for New World Energy is expected to enhance the company's position as an A+H listed entity, which will strengthen the synergy between resources, facilities, and management [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of RMB 5.265 billion, RMB 5.717 billion, and RMB 6.270 billion respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to RMB 25.90 based on a 14x PE for 2026, reflecting the anticipated long-term value from industrial chain integration [5].