Haoneng(SH:603809) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-31 08:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on the closing price of 13.16 CNY per share on October 30, 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 33/25/19 for the years 2025-2027 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.895 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 266 million CNY, up 9.11% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 642 million CNY, a year-on-year growth of 16.25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.26%. The net profit for the same period was 82 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.46% [2][3]. Revenue and Profitability - The revenue growth is driven by the ramp-up of new project capacities, particularly in the differential gear segment, which is gradually releasing production capacity. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 30.64%, down 3.96 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has established a full industrial chain layout for differential gears, leveraging its technical advantages in precision manufacturing, which includes mold design and precision forging [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.761 billion CNY, 3.314 billion CNY, and 3.809 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 370 million CNY, 484 million CNY, and 644 million CNY for the same years [5][9]. - The report indicates a significant growth rate in net profit for 2024 at 76.9%, followed by 15.0% in 2025, and 30.8% in 2026 [10]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is focusing on high-precision reducers and has begun to supply core components in bulk to mainstream robotics companies. It aims to expand its market presence and product offerings in humanoid robots, robotic dogs, and exoskeletons [3]. - The joint venture with Suzhou Ishikawa aims to enhance the company's capabilities in the differential gear sector, further solidifying its market position [3].