GUANGHUI ENERGY(SH:600256) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-31 09:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 22.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.63%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.01 billion yuan, down 49.03% year-on-year [1][2] - The decline in profits is primarily attributed to falling prices of coal and coal chemical products, as well as a significant increase in water conservation compensation fees [2] - The company has made progress in its planned projects, including a coal quality utilization demonstration project with an expected investment of 16.48 billion yuan, projected to generate an average annual after-tax profit of 1.638 billion yuan [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.783 billion yuan, down 25.81% year-on-year and 0.92% quarter-on-quarter; net profit attributable to shareholders was 159 million yuan, down 71.01% year-on-year and 0.46% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The coal production in Q3 2025 was 12.57 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 0.24% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8.80% [3] - The natural gas sales in Q3 2025 were 655 million cubic meters, down 36.17% year-on-year and 0.06% quarter-on-quarter [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.354 billion yuan, 1.566 billion yuan, and 1.844 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.21 yuan, 0.24 yuan, and 0.29 yuan per share [5][6] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 25, 22, and 19 respectively, based on the stock price as of October 30, 2025 [6]