Muyuan Foods (SZ:002714) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-31 09:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company has shown steady cost reductions and is positioned for robust high-quality development in the swine industry [1][8] - The company reported a total revenue of 111.79 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.78 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [8] - The company has increased its sales volume of commodity pigs by 27% year-on-year, selling 57.32 million heads in the first three quarters of 2025 [8] - The average breeding cost has decreased to 11.6 yuan/kg, down 1.5 yuan/kg since January 2025, indicating improved breeding efficiency [8] - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, including a partnership with BAF Vietnam to establish a breeding project [8] - The slaughtering business has achieved profitability for the first time in a single quarter, with a slaughter volume of 19.16 million heads, a 140% increase year-on-year [8] - The company is focused on reducing leverage, with a debt ratio of 55.50% as of the end of Q3 2025, down from the mid-year figure [8] Financial Summary - The company expects total revenue of 141.41 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit of 17.49 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease from previous forecasts [8][10] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 3.20 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16 [10]