松原安全(300893):25Q3业绩点评:25Q3业绩快速增长,核心客户持续放量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 39.98% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching about 1.834 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of approximately 37.93%, totaling about 263 million yuan [1] - The main customers have shown significant growth, with total production from key clients like Geely, Chery, SAIC-GM-Wuling, Great Wall, and Yutong reaching approximately 2.6196 million vehicles in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 32.01% [2] - The company's profitability has improved, with a gross margin of approximately 29.08% and a net margin of about 14.82% in Q3 2025, reflecting a slight optimization in expense ratios [3] - The company is transitioning to become a global integrated supplier of automotive passive safety modules, with expected sales of approximately 5.5 billion yuan from two projects with Stellantis, set to commence supply in 2026 [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of approximately 686 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 35.39%, and a net profit of approximately 102 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 50.88% [1] - The company’s expense ratio was approximately 11.68%, a decrease of about 0.49 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, and R&D expenses showing reductions [3] Growth Prospects - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 2.713 billion yuan in 2025 to 4.856 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of approximately 37.6%, 35.3%, and 32.3% respectively [5] - Net profit is projected to increase from approximately 395 million yuan in 2025 to about 716 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of about 51.6%, 35.2%, and 34.2% [5] Market Position - The company is optimizing its customer structure by moving from low-end to high-end self-owned brands, and has begun mass production at its Malaysia base in Q3 2025 [4]