Tuopu Group(SH:601689) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-31 10:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on a PE ratio of 42/34/27 for the years 2025-2027 [7][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.93 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8.1% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the revenue reached 7.99 billion yuan, showing a 12.1% year-on-year and 11.5% quarter-on-quarter growth, driven by increased sales from key clients such as Tesla and Xiaomi [2][3]. - The company is strategically positioned as a Tier 0.5 supplier in the automotive parts industry, collaborating with major electric vehicle manufacturers and expanding its product lines [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's Q3 2025 gross margin was 18.6%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 8.4%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 31.30 billion, 36.88 billion, and 44.84 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 3.04 billion, 3.75 billion, and 4.68 billion yuan [5][6]. Product and Market Development - The company is actively expanding its product offerings in robotics and AI applications, with significant investments planned for production bases in Thailand and other regions [4][5]. - The company has established stable partnerships with both domestic and international automotive manufacturers, enhancing its position in the global supply chain [3]. Financial Forecast - The financial forecast indicates a steady growth trajectory, with expected revenue growth rates of 17.7%, 17.8%, and 21.6% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.75, 2.16, and 2.69 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][6].