GONGNIU(SH:603195) HTSC·2025-10-31 10:52Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's traditional business is under short-term pressure due to a slowdown in domestic consumption and new housing sales, but it is actively advancing new business areas such as renewable energy and data center electrical connections, which opens up incremental growth opportunities [1][2] - The company reported a revenue of 4.03 billion RMB in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.44%, and a net profit of 919 million RMB, down 10.29% year-on-year [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 12.198 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.22%, and a net profit of 2.979 billion RMB, down 8.72% year-on-year [1][2] - The comprehensive gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 42.11%, a decrease of 1.01 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 24.42%, down 1.47 percentage points year-on-year [3] Business Development - The company is focusing on product innovation based on user needs, launching upgraded versions of core products like sockets and chargers, and optimizing its channel layout to reach younger consumers through new media platforms [4] - As of September 2025, the balance of construction projects was 440 million RMB, an increase of 38.97% from the end of 2024, indicating ongoing capacity optimization and product development [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 4.037 billion RMB, 4.127 billion RMB, and 4.428 billion RMB, reflecting downward revisions of 5.48%, 6.28%, and 6.09% respectively [5] - The target price is set at 55.75 RMB, based on a 25 times PE ratio for 2025, despite short-term performance pressures [5]