Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to WuXi AppTec (2268 HK) with a target price of HK$103.18, indicating a potential upside of 41% from the current price of HK$73.10 [1][9][28]. Core Insights - WuXi AppTec is positioned as a leader in the ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) market, benefiting from high technical barriers and a comprehensive end-to-end service model [6][7][28]. - The ADC industry is expected to experience significant growth, with a projected CAGR of 28.4% from 2022 to 2030, driven by increasing demand for innovative therapies and a robust pipeline of over 1,100 ADC candidates [8][26][31]. - The company's revenue and profit are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 40.1% and 44.4%, respectively, from 2024 to 2027, reflecting strong market demand and operational efficiency [12][27]. Summary by Sections Financial Data - The projected financial performance for WuXi AppTec includes revenues of RMB 6,003 million in 2025, RMB 8,450 million in 2026, and RMB 11,147 million in 2027, with corresponding net profits of RMB 1,630 million, RMB 2,400 million, and RMB 3,219 million [11][12]. - The estimated EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.36, RMB 2.00, and RMB 2.68, respectively [2][11]. Market Position - WuXi AppTec holds a 22.2% share of the global ADC CDMO market and approximately 70% of the domestic market, establishing itself as a global leader [7][27][60]. - The company has a diverse and extensive customer base, serving over 500 clients, including 13 of the top 20 pharmaceutical companies globally [75][76]. Industry Trends - The ADC market is projected to reach USD 66.2 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 31% from 2024 to 2030, driven by successful commercialization and a growing number of ADC products [25][31]. - The report highlights the increasing reliance on CDMO services due to the high technical barriers and compliance requirements in ADC production, with an outsourcing rate of 70% in the ADC sector [51][54]. Competitive Advantages - WuXi AppTec's competitive edge lies in its integrated CRDMO platform, which covers the entire drug development lifecycle, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing time to market [66][72]. - The company has established a strong technological moat through continuous R&D investment, particularly in its WuXiDARx™ platform, which improves product uniformity and stability [85][86].
药明合联（02268）：ADC浪潮，高壁垒CDMO迎来战略机遇期，首次覆盖给予“买入”评级