Anfu Technology(SH:603031) Huachuang Securities·2025-10-31 12:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's main business operations remain stable, with a focus on increasing profits through its stake in Nanfu batteries. The revenue for Q3 2025 was 1.18 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 7.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 70 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 19.5% [2][8]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to the suspension of the Red Bull agency business, which accounted for 10.6% of total revenue in 2024. Excluding this impact, the core business revenue is expected to remain stable [8]. - The gross profit margin improved to 51.7% in Q3 2025, up 4.4 percentage points year-over-year, driven by a decrease in low-margin agency business revenue. The net profit margin also increased to 5.7%, up 1.3 percentage points year-over-year [8]. - The company has a stable cash flow, with a net operating cash flow of 350 million yuan in Q3 2025, down 1.4% year-over-year, and cash on hand of 1.37 billion yuan, up 28.7% year-over-year. This strong cash position supports the company's expansion into overseas markets [8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 4.797 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 3.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 271 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 61.3% [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.05 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37 [4][9]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 51.3 yuan, based on a projected P/E ratio of 30 for 2026 [4][8].