四方股份(601126):网内外业务景气共振,固态变压器有望打开新空间

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company has shown steady operating performance in the first three quarters, with revenue reaching 6.132 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.39%, and a net profit of 704 million yuan, up 15.57% year-on-year. However, impairment losses have affected profit growth [8][19]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in domestic delivery and maintaining rapid growth in external business. In the first half of 2025, revenue from grid automation was 1.726 billion yuan, up 2.21% year-on-year, while revenue from power plant and industrial automation reached 2.003 billion yuan, a 31.25% increase year-on-year [19][20]. - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, achieving significant breakthroughs in multiple countries, including Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea, and Indonesia, and winning SVG projects in Laos, Congo, and India [20]. - The company has a leading position in solid-state transformer technology, with multiple key projects delivered. The efficiency of its solid-state transformer products has been improved to 98.5% through several iterations [20][22]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 828 million yuan, 1.005 billion yuan, and 1.205 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 16%, 21%, and 20% [3][24]. - The projected revenue for the company is 8.15 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 17.3% compared to the previous year [4][26]. - Key financial metrics include a projected PE ratio of 28 for 2025, a net profit margin of 11.0%, and a return on equity (ROE) of 17.7% [4][26].