XCMG(SZ:000425) CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-31 13:22Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 78.157 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.977 billion yuan, also up 11.67% year-on-year [7] - The revenue growth accelerated in the third quarter, with a revenue of 23.349 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.99% [7] - The company has a global presence with nearly 50% of its revenue coming from overseas, supported by a robust global operational framework [7] - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a recovery across all categories, driven by domestic demand and infrastructure projects [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 7.356 billion, 9.554 billion, and 11.995 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17.0, 13.1, and 10.4 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (million yuan): 92,848 in 2023, 91,660 in 2024, projected 102,849 in 2025, 118,435 in 2026, and 138,034 in 2027 [6][8] - Net profit (million yuan): 5,326 in 2023, 5,976 in 2024, projected 7,356 in 2025, 9,554 in 2026, and 11,995 in 2027 [6][8] - EPS (yuan): 0.45 in 2023, 0.51 in 2024, projected 0.63 in 2025, 0.81 in 2026, and 1.02 in 2027 [6][8] - ROE (%): 9.5 in 2023, 10.1 in 2024, projected 12.0 in 2025, 14.1 in 2026, and 15.9 in 2027 [6][8] Market Performance - The company's stock price closed at 10.50 yuan as of October 30, 2025 [2] - The company's market performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 8%, while the CSI 300 index has increased by 5% [4]