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兴业银行(601166):盈利维持正增长,期待可转债转股:——兴业银行(601166.SH)2025年三季报点评

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved an operating income of 161.2 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 63.1 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of -1.8% and 0.1% respectively [4][5]. - The report highlights a narrowing decline in revenue and a slight positive growth in profit, with net interest income and non-interest income showing year-on-year growth rates of -0.6% and -4.5% respectively [5][8]. - The bank's asset expansion is steady, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.7% in interest-earning assets and 4.3% in loans as of the end of Q3 2025 [6][10]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains low at 1.08%, indicating strong risk compensation capabilities [10][30]. - The report emphasizes the bank's strategic focus on digital transformation and the development of five new business tracks, aiming for a more efficient and sustainable growth model [12][31]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 161.2 billion, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 63.1 billion, an increase of 0.1% year-on-year [4][5]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.07%, down 0.85 percentage points year-on-year [4][5]. Asset and Liability Management - As of Q3 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 4.7% and 4.3% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a slight acceleration in asset expansion [6][10]. - The bank's deposits increased steadily, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.6% in deposits as of Q3 2025 [7][10]. Profitability and Efficiency - The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.72%, with a narrowing decline compared to previous periods [8][12]. - Non-interest income decreased by 4.5% year-on-year, contributing to a decline in its proportion of total revenue [9][12]. Risk Management - The non-performing loan ratio was reported at 1.08%, with a stable asset quality performance [10][30]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 227.8%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [10][30]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q3 2025, the bank's core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 9.66%, reflecting a solid capital position [11][30]. - The report notes that the bank has a significant amount of convertible bonds that have not yet been converted, suggesting potential for future capital enhancement [11][12].