March 30, 2026 06:18 PM GMT China – Banks: 4Q25 Wrap | Asia Pacific Improving revenue outlook, credit cost likely key divergent driver for 2026 We saw more signs of stabilizing NIM and healthy fee income growth in 4Q25 results. We believe CCB, BOC, CITIC, Industrial Bank, and PAB can report above-peer rebound in revenue and profit growth in 2026, considering both revenue growth and room to reduce or maintain credit costs. More modest NIM pressure and healthy fee income to support improving revenue growth tr ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" as of April 1, 2026, consistent with the previous rating [5] Core Insights - The report highlights a divergence in performance among banks, with state-owned banks showing renewed vitality despite pressure on net interest margins. The overall revenue and profit growth for 22 listed banks has shown signs of recovery compared to the previous quarters, driven by improvements in effective tax rates, accelerated scale expansion, and a slowdown in the decline of net interest margins [5][20] - The report indicates that the net profit growth for the 22 listed banks is primarily driven by six factors, including the expansion of interest-earning assets and recovery in net fees, while the decline in net interest margins has been the main negative contributor [15][20] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - As of March 30, 2026, 22 A-share listed banks reported a revenue growth of 1.24%, PPOP growth of 0.60%, and net profit growth of 1.30% for 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter recovery observed [14] - The net profit growth drivers include a 7.97% contribution from interest-earning asset expansion and a 0.97% contribution from the recovery of net fees [15] Scale - The report notes that public and bill financing are the main growth drivers, with financial investments continuing to show high growth [9] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin has stabilized for two consecutive quarters, with expectations for a rebound in 2026 [9] Non-Interest Income - There is a performance divergence in non-interest income, with state-owned banks performing better due to lower exposure to the capital market [9][20] Asset Quality - The report indicates that the asset quality is improving for corporate loans, while retail loans are under pressure [9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable outlook for the banking sector in the second quarter, emphasizing its defensive nature amid economic fluctuations [9][20]

10家上市股份行2025年报已全部披露完毕，去年成绩如何？ 与2024年相比，有四家上市股份行营业收入与归母净利润"双降"，分别是平安银行、光大银 行、华夏银行和浙商银行。相对而言，招商银行、兴业银行、浦发银行和渤海银行实现了两 项指标的"双增"。从增速情况看，平安银行营收降幅最高，超过10%；浙商银行净利降幅最 高，达14.85%。 资产质量方面，截至2025年末，兴业银行、光大银行和民生银行不良贷款率较上年末有所上 升，其他上市股份行均有不同程度的下降。其中，招商银行不良贷款率0.94%，是上述股份 行中唯一一家未超1%的银行。 四家股份行营收净利"双降"， 浙商银行净利降超14% 从盈利情况看，2025年，招商银行、兴业银行、浦发银行、民生银行、渤海银行营业收入均 实现了同比正增长。 从招商银行看，去年该行实现营业收入3375.32亿元，同比增长0.01%，是股份行中唯一一家 营收超过3000亿元的银行。其中，净利息收入2155.93亿元，同比增长2.04%。不过，非利息 净收入1219.39亿元，同比下降3.38%。 查阅招商银行2025年报发现，该行去年净手续费及佣金收入752.58亿元，同比增长4 ...

上市银行年报披露行至中途。 截至目前，57家A股、H股银行中，已有37家完成年度业绩发布，员工薪酬情况随之曝光。 券商中国记者梳理数据完整、可比对的37家银行（包括6家国有大行、10家股份行、15家城商行、6家农商行）发现，上市银行人力成本支出普 遍有所抬升。 其中，中信银行人均薪酬水平微升至60万元，暂列股份行第一。招行人均薪酬则连续四年下降，已回落至58万元以内；兴业银行继续保持在56 万元左右，同比微升。 与此同时，37家银行去年合计增员超过6500人，新增员工继续重点分布在业务营销、信息科技等方面，柜员及教育背景不占优势的员工群体继 续优化。 人均薪酬方面，机制灵活、市场化程度高、分支机构集中于发达城市的股份行继续位居前列。不过浙商银行、光大银行薪酬降幅较大。 绝对规模上，中信银行人均薪酬继续微升至超过60万元，稳居第一；泸州银行、招商银行紧随其后，其中招行人均薪酬连续四年下降。 股份行薪酬整体下行 据了解，银行员工薪酬主要体现在利润表中的"业务及管理费"栏中的"员工费用"，也有银行称之为"人力成本""员工成本"等。 "员工费用"细化为工资奖金以及社保、五险一金、工会经费及培训费等项目，其中"工资奖金 ...

"黄金十年"落幕后, 中国银行业步入深度转型周期。 导语：以数智化全面重构银行经营逻辑、资产结构与服务模式。 宏观经济结构调整、利率市场化深化、金融监管趋严叠加科技革命冲击 ,低利率、低息差、高风险、强监管四重压力 在行业内持持续凸显 。 截至 3月29日,已 披露财报的 13家银行2025年平均净息差 收窄至 1.5%左右, 同比回落 10bps , 较 2020年下降近60个基点 。 国家金融监督 管理总局数据显示 ,2025年商业银行累计实现净利润约2. 4 万亿元 ,同比 增长约 2.3%。 在行业整体承压的背景下 ,银行业分化加剧,传统的规模扩张模式已难以为继。 部分银行固守传统业务 ,陷入资产荒、负债成本高、风险抬升的困境,亦有银行试图以数字化转型破局。 截至 2025年5月, 大中型银行已在总行和省分行层面都设立了专门的科技金融部门 ,全国设立科技支行达 2178家。 根据行业调研 ,全国性商业银行已普遍制定数字化战略,大中型银行大多设立了数字化专营部门,但多数银行的数字化仍停留在"工具替代人工"的初 级阶段：线上渠道、移动办公、电子审批。 经济转型期 ,传统基建、房地产、批发零售等行业融资需求 ...

2026 年 03 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/维持 兴业银行(601166) 目标价: 昨收盘:18.70 银行 股份行 兴业银行 2025 年年报点评：资产结构优化，风险加速出清 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 211.63/211.63 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 3,957.45/3,95 | | | 7.45 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 25.45/18.02 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 25/3/31 25/6/11 25/8/22 25/11/2 26/1/13 26/3/26 ◼ 股票数据 <<兴业银行 2025 年中报点评：多维 协同发力，盈利边际改善>>--2025- 09-13 <<兴业银行 2023 年年报&2024 年一 季报点评：营收同比转正，资负结构 持续优化>>--2024-05-22 <<兴业银行年报点评：息差逆势上 行，资产质量指标全面向好>>-- 2021-03-31 证券分析师：夏芈卬 电话：010-88695119 E-MAIL：xiama@tpy ...

法国兴业银行称，石油市场面临库存"大幅下降"和停产。 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that Chaoyun Group has maintained high dividends for six consecutive years, with revenue and profit both showing year-on-year growth, indicating a sustainable growth outlook for its product matrix [4][5] - In 2025, Chaoyun Group achieved a revenue of 1.988 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9.24%, and a net profit of 224 million RMB, up 9.98% year-on-year, with a comprehensive gross margin of 52.61% [4][5] - The company’s home care products performed well, with revenue from this segment reaching 1.715 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, while the pet business saw a significant growth of 74.3% [5][6] Group 2 - Jianmin Group's revenue for 2025 was 3.370 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.85% year-on-year, but the fourth quarter showed a strong recovery with an 82.69% increase in net profit [10][11] - The pharmaceutical industrial segment of Jianmin Group reported a revenue of 2.025 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 15.91%, driven by strong sales of prescription and OTC products [11][12] - The company is focusing on brand development and innovation, with key products showing significant sales growth, indicating a strong recovery in its core business [11][12] Group 3 - The report on Yimeng Biotech indicates that the B7H3 ADC drug has shown excellent efficacy in treating metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), with promising clinical trial results [13][14] - The drug has received fast track designation from the FDA, highlighting its potential in the market [14][15] - The clinical study included 146 patients, showing a median radiographic progression-free survival of 11.3 months, indicating strong therapeutic potential [15][16] Group 4 - Pop Mart reported a revenue of 37.12 billion RMB in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 184.7%, with adjusted net profit rising by 284.5% [18][19] - The company has seen a significant increase in online sales, which accounted for 44.3% of total revenue, reflecting a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [21][22] - The number of IPs generating over 2 billion RMB in revenue has increased, with the "Star People" IP showing a remarkable growth of 1602% [25][26] Group 5 - CIMC Vehicles reported a revenue of 20.18 billion RMB in 2025, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year, but with a strong performance in the Chinese market, where semi-trailer sales increased by 15% [28][29] - The company anticipates a recovery in the North American market in 2026, with significant order rebounds indicating a potential turnaround [29][30] - The report emphasizes the company's strategic positioning in the global market, particularly in the southern regions, which are expected to drive future growth [28][29] Group 6 - Power Development reported a revenue of 5.293 billion RMB in 2025, a decrease of 6.4% year-on-year, but maintained a high profit margin despite market challenges [32][33] - The company achieved a high dividend payout ratio of 123%, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [33][34] - The report outlines ongoing projects that are expected to enhance production capacity significantly in the coming years, indicating strong growth potential [34][35] Group 7 - Bluestar Technology is recognized as a leader in adsorption separation materials, with significant growth driven by innovation and market demand in various sectors [37][38] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing market for small nucleic acid drugs, with projections indicating substantial growth in this area [38][39] - The report forecasts revenues of 2.733 billion RMB for 2025, with a strong growth trajectory expected in subsequent years [39]

Macro Analysis - Industrial enterprises' profits continued to show a strong start in January-February 2026, driven by accelerated industrial production, rising prices, and improved profit margins [1] - Profit distribution is skewed towards the midstream and upstream sectors due to rising resource prices and global capital expenditure [1] - The recovery in PPI readings is expected to support overall corporate profit recovery, although high oil prices may lead to differentiated impacts on profitability across sectors [1] Bond Market - The convertible bond market has resumed its upward trend, with investors advised to track market supply, policy rhythms, and geopolitical disturbances while making refined selections based on bond terms and underlying stock conditions [2] REITs Market - The secondary market for publicly listed REITs has continued to experience price declines for five consecutive weeks, with the CSI REITs index closing at 778.53, reflecting a return rate of -0.83% [3] Banking Sector - Qingdao Bank reported a revenue of 14.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, and a net profit of 5.2 billion, up 22%, indicating accelerated revenue and profit growth [4] - Wuxi Bank achieved a revenue of 4.8 billion, a 2% increase, and a net profit of 2.3 billion, up 2.5%, showcasing resilient profit growth driven by corporate business [5] - Industrial Bank reported a revenue of 212.7 billion, a slight increase of 0.2%, and a net profit of 77.5 billion, up 0.3%, with a focus on expanding new business areas [7] - Postal Savings Bank's revenue growth improved sequentially, with a 2% increase in revenue and a 6.6% increase in PPOP [8] Non-Banking Financials - China Pacific Insurance reported a net profit increase of 25.5%, with future non-auto insurance business expected to maintain a leading position [9] - New China Life Insurance's net profit reached 36.28 billion, a 38.3% increase, with expectations for continued growth in new business value [10] - Ping An Insurance's net profit grew by 6.5%, with a slight downward adjustment in future profit forecasts [11] - China Insurance's net profit increased by 8.8%, with expectations for stable performance in both property and life insurance segments [12] Real Estate and Property Management - Jianfa Property achieved a revenue of 3.881 billion, a 17.8% increase, with a significant rise in property management service revenue [14][15] Chemical and Semiconductor Sector - Dinglong Co. reported a revenue of 3.66 billion, a 9.66% increase, and a net profit of 720 million, up 38.32%, with expectations for continued growth in the semiconductor sector [16] Oil and Gas Sector - China National Petroleum Corporation reported total revenue of 2864.5 billion, a decrease of 2.5%, and a net profit of 157.3 billion, down 4.5%, with a focus on increasing reserves and production [17] - CNOOC's total revenue was 398.2 billion, down 5.3%, with a net profit of 122.1 billion, down 11.5%, but with a positive outlook for future profit growth [18] Utilities Sector - China General Nuclear Power Corporation reported a revenue of 756.97 billion, down 4.11%, and a net profit of 97.65 billion, down 9.9%, with an upward revision in future profit forecasts [20] Food and Beverage Sector - Haitian Flavor Industry achieved a revenue of 28.873 billion, a 7.3% increase, and a net profit of 7.04 billion, up 10.9%, indicating strong performance in the food sector [48] - Qingdao Beer reported a revenue of 32.47 billion, a 1% increase, and a net profit of 4.59 billion, up 5.6%, with a focus on maintaining strong brand advantages [51]

核心观点： ➢ 亮点：总资产规模回暖叠加资产质量企稳，促进关键指标改善。 （1）规模稳健增长。2025 年总资产规模增速 5.58%，增速较前三季度提升 20.3pct，其中贷款增速 3.7%。贷款结构方面，信贷增量主要是由对公贷款（基 建、采矿、租赁商贸、批发零售、制造业和建筑业）贡献，零售贷款和票据贴 现均同比下降。负债端，2025 年存款增速 6.93%，增量主要由零售存款贡献。 （2）资产质量稳定。2025 年末贷款不良率 1.08%，与上季度末持平；关注贷 款率 1.69%，较 25H1 略升 3BP；逾期贷款率 1.49%，较 25H1 下降 4BP。分 产品来看，零售资产质量仍然承压，对公贷款不良率改善，2025 年末零售和对 公不良率分别为 1.38%和 1.01%，分别较 25H1 上升 16 和下降 7BP。 （3）非息收入改善。2025 年非息收入同比下降 0.2%，降幅较前三季度有所收 窄，其中净手续费收入同比增长 7.45%，增速较前三季度提升 3.66pct。其他非 息收入同比下降 4.81%，较前三季度降幅收窄 4.47pct。 ➢ 关注： 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 202 ...