CNNP(SH:601985) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-31 13:49Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company's nuclear power business reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 2.81% in the first three quarters, but the quarterly performance turned negative due to the impact of VAT refund settlement timing and increased income tax [2][6] - The renewable energy business saw a significant decline in net profit contribution, down 67.96% year-on-year, primarily due to falling market electricity prices and reduced equity stakes [2][6] - Despite short-term performance pressures, the long-term value of the company remains solid, supported by a robust project reserve in both nuclear and renewable energy sectors [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.336 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.45% [6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.002 billion yuan, down 10.42% year-on-year [2][6] Nuclear Power Business - The company’s nuclear power generation volume reached 151.008 billion kWh in the first three quarters, an increase of 11.33% year-on-year, with Q3 generation at 51.147 billion kWh, up 10.03% [2][6] - Revenue growth for the nuclear power business was limited to 5.56% due to declining market electricity prices [2][6] Renewable Energy Business - The company’s installed capacity for renewable energy reached 33.4847 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 38.67%, with wind and solar power contributing significantly [2][6] - Despite a 34.77% increase in renewable energy generation volume, the net profit contribution from this segment fell sharply due to market price declines and reduced equity stakes [2][6] Long-term Outlook - The company has a strong project reserve with 19 nuclear units under construction or approved, totaling 21.859 million kW, and 738.78 million kW in renewable energy projects [2][6] - The long-term value is expected to remain stable despite short-term pressures, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 at 0.46 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.56 yuan respectively [2][6]