宝立食品（603170）：第三季度收入同比增长15%，坚持BC双轮驱动

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][14][16] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.133 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.50%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 192 million yuan, also up by 10.59% year-on-year [8][11] - The company is focusing on a dual-driven strategy (BC), extending from restaurant supply to a food supply chain platform, benefiting from the trend of restaurant chain standardization [2][13] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 753 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.60%, and a net profit of 75 million yuan, up 15.71% year-on-year [8][11] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 32.55%, an increase of 1.27 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher proportion of the more profitable light cooking business [2][11] - The company expects revenue for 2025-2027 to be 2.904 billion, 3.249 billion, and 3.579 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.5%, 11.9%, and 10.1% respectively [3][14] Product and Market Dynamics - The revenue growth in Q3 2025 was driven by strong performance in compound seasoning and light cooking solutions, with respective year-on-year increases of 9.7% and 25.0% [11][2] - Direct sales channels showed a robust growth of 17.7% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in customer demand [11][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.64, 0.74, and 0.82 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22.5, 19.4, and 17.5 [3][14] - The company maintains a strong return on equity (ROE) forecast of 18.3% for 2025, increasing to 22.5% by 2027 [4][17]