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比亚迪电子(00285):手机、汽车、服务器业务将推动2026年成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD Electronics with a target price of HKD 43.7, indicating a potential upside of 17% from the current price of HKD 37.4 [1][3]. Core Insights - Despite a decline in revenue and profit in Q3, BYD Electronics is expected to see seasonal growth in Q4. The company is projected to maintain strong growth momentum in its consumer electronics, automotive, and server segments through 2026 [8]. - The report adjusts the 2025 profit forecast but largely maintains the 2026 profit outlook, reflecting confidence in the company's growth drivers [8]. Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 129,957 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21%. By 2026, revenue is expected to reach RMB 196,524 million, growing at a rate of 10% [2]. - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at RMB 4,041 million, with a significant increase of 29% expected in 2026, reaching RMB 5,618 million [2]. - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 6.6% in 2025 to 7.3% in 2026, indicating a positive trend in profitability [2]. Business Segments and Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers include new models from major clients, expansion of CNC production capacity, and strong demand for liquid cooling and power components in AI servers [8]. - The automotive segment is expected to see both volume growth and an increase in the value per vehicle due to advancements in smart driving and suspension products [8]. Valuation - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts valuation method, assigning target P/E ratios to various business segments, resulting in a target price of HKD 43.7, corresponding to a P/E of 20.7x for 2025 [12].