Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 180.50, indicating a potential upside of 10.8% from the current price of RMB 162.94 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high gross margin in Q3 2025, driven by strong cyclical demand, with a year-to-date revenue of RMB 110.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025 was RMB 5.31 billion, up 31.6% year-on-year [2][7]. - The report anticipates continued growth in Q4 2025, supported by the high-end model matrix and increasing deliveries of new models, projecting monthly deliveries of approximately 50,000 to 60,000 units [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 35.84 billion in 2023, RMB 145.18 billion in 2024, RMB 175.17 billion in 2025, RMB 204.28 billion in 2026, and RMB 213.88 billion in 2027, with significant year-on-year growth rates [6][12]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2024, reaching RMB 5.95 billion, and further increasing to RMB 10.88 billion in 2025, with a projected earnings per share of RMB 7.21 [6][12]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve to 27.1% in 2025, reflecting ongoing enhancements in product mix and pricing strategies [14][16]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned to capitalize on the high-end market segment, with a focus on premium electric vehicles. The launch of new models is expected to enhance market share in the RMB 200,000 to 300,000 price range [7][12]. - The upcoming dual listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is anticipated to attract further investor interest, with the company becoming the first luxury electric vehicle manufacturer to list in both A-share and H-share markets [7][9].
赛力斯(601127):3Q25毛利率新高,强周期驱动下延续量价齐升,维持买入